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Sobradinho vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sobradinho in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sobradinho
20%
Draws
10%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sobradinho lately — more wins on the board than Legiao.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sobradinho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sobradinho have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Legiao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 0.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Sobradinho vs Legiao
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Sobradinho vs Legiao
1:1
Feb 23, 2014 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
5:1
Mar 30, 2013 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 85 / 100
Legiao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Legiao conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Sobradinho found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sobradinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Legiao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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Legiao

(Away)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobradinho 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Legiao 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
3 Brasiliense 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Luziania 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Real Brasilia 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
6 Botafogo DF 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Capital 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 Ceilandense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
4 Gama 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 Brazlandia 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
6 Bosque Formosa 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)