Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs Bourg Peronnas

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Peybernes M.
20'
Vitelli A.
53' Event
Meyer J.
Assist: Besic B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Sochaux and Bourg Peronnas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sochaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sochaux
39%
Draws
30%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bourg Peronnas haven't matched Sochaux's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 25%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Bourg Peronnas
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Sochaux
1:3
May 9, 2025 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Sochaux
1:1
Jul 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Bourg Peronnas vs Sochaux
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 33 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Bourg Peronnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sochaux scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Bourg Peronnas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sochaux went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Bourg Peronnas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
10 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

Bourg Peronnas

(Away)
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Sochaux
2 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)