Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs St Etienne

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Breum J.
Assist: Boakye A.
24' Event
Cardona I.
Assist: Breum J.
28' Event
Cardona I.
Assist: Ballo T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Sochaux and St Etienne finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sochaux
15%
Draws
59%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sochaux carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 13%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux St Etienne
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs St Etienne
0:3
Jan 28, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Sochaux
2:3
Oct 10, 2022 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs St Etienne
2:1
Feb 11, 2021 Coupe de France
Sochaux vs St Etienne
1:0
Mar 23, 2014 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Sochaux
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Breum J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 10 / 100
St Etienne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sochaux found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

St Etienne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sochaux stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS St Etienne
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
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St Etienne

(Away)
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3
Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Pau 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Nancy 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)