Sport Picks
Sochaux vs Valenciennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard 
Match Events
18'
18'
Koum Mbondo A.
24'
24'
Sub
Diomande D. In: Wahib A.
Out: Diomande D.
30'
30'
Djoco K.
Assist: Boutoutaou A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sochaux
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sochaux lately — more wins on the board than Valenciennes.
- Win probability leans Sochaux's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 20%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sochaux | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Valenciennes
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Sochaux
0:3
Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Sochaux
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Valenciennes
2:0
Jan 31, 2023 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Valenciennes
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sochaux Compare
Top Goalscorer Djoco K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Valenciennes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sochaux 58 / 100
Valenciennes 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sochaux Valenciennes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sochaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valenciennes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Sochaux remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sochaux's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sochaux VS Valenciennes
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sochaux
(Home) 02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1 Xamax
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1 Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0 Nantes
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1 Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0 Sochaux
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1 Xamax
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0 Nantes
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0 Guingamp
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3 St Etienne
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1 Auxerre
Page 1 of 4
Valenciennes
(Away) 03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1 Valenciennes
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
