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Socorrense vs Coritiba SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Socorrense and Coritiba SE finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Socorrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Socorrense
20%
Draws
22%
Coritiba SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Socorrense come out ahead of Coritiba SE on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Socorrense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 20%
Coritiba SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorrense Coritiba SE
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 7 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.8 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorrense vs Coritiba SE
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorrense 85 / 100
Coritiba SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorrense Coritiba SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba SE has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Socorrense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Socorrense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Socorrense VS Coritiba SE
2.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Socorrense

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
Page 1 of 6

Coritiba SE

(Away)
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0
Coritiba SE
20 Sept
Coritiba SE
0 : 6
Propria
17 Sept
Coritiba SE
1 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)