Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024

Socorro

1 - 3

Aracaju FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Socorro and Aracaju FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aracaju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Socorro

20%

Draws

22%

Aracaju FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Socorro's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Aracaju FC have produced (1.43).
Model gives Socorro a 58% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Aracaju FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Socorro Clean Sheet 20%

Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Socorro	Aracaju FC
Matches Played	18	14
Wins	6	6
Draws	4	0
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.44	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.56	2.21
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Sergipano 3

Socorro vs Aracaju FC

7:0

Oct 1, 2024 Sergipano 2

Aracaju FC vs Socorro

1:0

Aug 30, 2024 Sergipano 2

Socorro vs Aracaju FC

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorro 85 / 100

Aracaju FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Socorro Aracaju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Socorro's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Aracaju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 14 matches.

Socorro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Socorro VS Aracaju FC

2 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Socorro

(Home)

31 Oct

Socorro

1 : 1

Socorrense

25 Oct

Socorrense

2 : 1

Socorro

19 Oct

Socorro

1 : 1

Botafogo ASF

16 Oct

Botafogo ASF

1 : 3

Socorro

11 Oct

Socorro

3 : 0

Coritiba SE

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Aracaju FC

(Away)

11 Oct

Socorrense

8 : 2

Aracaju FC

05 Oct

Aracaju FC

0 : 2

Santa Cruz SE

01 Oct

Socorro

7 : 0

Aracaju FC

24 Sept

Aracaju FC

2 : 0

Coritiba SE

21 Sept

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

2 : 1

Aracaju FC

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