Sport Picks

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Socorro W vs Estanciano EC W

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Women 2024
Sat, Dec 21, 2024
3 - 0
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Socorro W play Estanciano EC W in the Sergipano Women 2024. Socorro W are favorites here. Recently, Socorro W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. Estanciano EC W averaged 2 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Socorro W won 1, Estanciano EC W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 23, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Socorro W and 1.61 for Estanciano EC W. This points to a Socorro W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Socorro W
15%
Draws
22%
Estanciano EC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Socorro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Socorro W picked up more points recently compared to Estanciano EC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 11%
Socorro W Clean Sheet 14%
Estanciano EC W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorro W Estanciano EC W
Matches Played 5 12
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1.8 2
Goals Conceded 0.2 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Sergipano Women
Socorro W vs Estanciano EC W
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Sergipano Women
Socorro W vs Estanciano EC W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorro W 60 / 100
Estanciano EC W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorro W Estanciano EC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Socorro W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Socorro W attacking → ← attacking Estanciano EC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorro W scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Estanciano EC W let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Socorro W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Estanciano EC W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 12
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75