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Socuellamos vs Navalcarnero

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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Match Events

64' Event
Verdu J.

AI Match Summary

Socuellamos in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Socuellamos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Socuellamos
35%
Draws
32%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Socuellamos haven't matched Navalcarnero's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Socuellamos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Socuellamos Clean Sheet 20%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socuellamos Navalcarnero
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Socuellamos vs Navalcarnero
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Socuellamos
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs Socuellamos
1:3
Sep 25, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Socuellamos vs Navalcarnero
0:1
Feb 19, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Socuellamos vs Navalcarnero
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Socuellamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Navalcarnero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socuellamos 36 / 100
Navalcarnero 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socuellamos Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Socuellamos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Socuellamos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Navalcarnero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Socuellamos VS Navalcarnero
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Socuellamos

(Home)
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
04 Aug
Socuellamos
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
03 May
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Las Palmas B
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Navalcarnero

(Away)
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0
Navalcarnero
29 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 0
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)