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Sodupe vs Aurrera Ondarroa

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Sodupe and Aurrera Ondarroa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurrera Ondarroa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sodupe
20%
Draws
22%
Aurrera Ondarroa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aurrera Ondarroa have managed 1 goals a game lately — Sodupe are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Sodupe are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 20%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Aurrera Ondarroa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Sodupe
5:0
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:2
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera Ondarroa
5:1
Dec 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Sodupe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 67 / 100
Aurrera Ondarroa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Aurrera Ondarroa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Aurrera Ondarroa let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Sodupe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Aurrera Ondarroa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Aurrera Ondarroa
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
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Aurrera Ondarroa

(Away)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
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