Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sodupe vs Somorrostro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Sodupe and Somorrostro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somorrostro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sodupe
20%
Draws
40%
Somorrostro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Somorrostro's 1.23 goals per match outpaces what Sodupe have produced (1.18).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 13%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Somorrostro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Somorrostro
1:3
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
2:2
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Somorrostro
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
0:0
Feb 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 31 / 100
Somorrostro 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Somorrostro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sodupe scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Somorrostro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sodupe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Somorrostro
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

Somorrostro

(Away)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6