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Sofala vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Sofala Logo

Sofala

1 - 1
FT
Costa do Sol Logo

Costa do Sol

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sofala
15%
Draws
59%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Costa do Sol lately — more wins on the board than Sofala.
  • Model gives Costa do Sol a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sofala Clean Sheet 19%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sofala Costa do Sol
Matches Played 17 26
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.47 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Sofala
1:0
May 20, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Costa do Sol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sofala 28 / 100
Costa do Sol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sofala Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sofala scored in 47% of their last 17 games.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Sofala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sofala VS Costa do Sol
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sofala

(Home)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Ferroviario Beira 17 9 7 1 23:10 34
3 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 16 8 4 4 19:18 28
5 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 15 7 3 5 13:13 24
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 16 4 7 5 9:10 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
12 ENH Vilankulo 15 2 8 5 16:16 14
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)