Sport Picks
Match Events
80'
80'
Miheso C.
(Penalty)
83'
83'
Ngala H.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sofapaka and Bidco United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bidco United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bidco United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bidco United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 28%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sofapaka | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Bidco United
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Bidco United
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
0:2
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sofapaka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bidco United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ngala H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sofapaka 22 / 100
Bidco United 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sofapaka Bidco United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bidco United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Bidco United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Sofapaka scored in 33% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Sofapaka VS Bidco United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sofapaka
(Home) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
03 Apr
Sofapaka
0 : 0 Bandari
14 Mar
Sofapaka
0 : 1 Nairobi United
Page 1 of 3
Bidco United
(Away) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
18 Apr
Mathare United
3 : 0 Bidco United
28 Mar
Bandari
1 : 0 Bidco United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
