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Sofapaka vs KCB

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ghartey F.
45' Event
Makati R.
88' Event
Etemesi K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sofapaka and KCB finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KCB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sofapaka
20%
Draws
60%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KCB come out ahead of Sofapaka on wins alone.
  • Model gives KCB a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 18%
KCB Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sofapaka KCB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.53 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Premier League
Sofapaka vs KCB
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Sofapaka
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs KCB
2:0
Dec 12, 2024 Premier League
KCB vs Sofapaka
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Premier League
Sofapaka vs KCB
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sofapaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghartey F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

KCB Compare

Top Goalscorer Makati R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Etemesi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sofapaka 12 / 100
KCB 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sofapaka KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KCB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KCB conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: KCB registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sofapaka scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sofapaka VS KCB
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sofapaka

(Home)
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0
Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0
Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2
Mathare United
Page 1 of 6

KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)