Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Ghartey F.
77'
77'
Nyabuto Omundi K.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sofapaka and Shabana finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shabana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shabana come out ahead of Sofapaka on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Shabana taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 18%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sofapaka | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 25 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.47 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Shabana
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Sofapaka
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Shabana
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Sofapaka
0:1
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Shabana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sofapaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghartey F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.23
Shabana Compare
Top Goalscorer Nyabuto Omundi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sofapaka 10 / 100
Shabana 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sofapaka Shabana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shabana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sofapaka scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
Shabana let in goals in 48% of their last 25 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Sofapaka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sofapaka VS Shabana
0.57 Goals Scored 0.5
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 13%
57% Over 2.5 0%
29% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sofapaka
(Home) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
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27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
03 Apr
Sofapaka
0 : 0 Bandari
14 Mar
Sofapaka
0 : 1 Nairobi United
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Shabana
(Away) 31 May
Shabana
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0 Ulinzi Stars
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24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
11 Apr
KUTA Collection
0 : 1 Shabana
05 Apr
Nairobi United
3 : 0 Shabana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
