Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sofia Farmer vs Windmill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Windmill in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sofia Farmer
15%
Draws
24%
Windmill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sofia Farmer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Windmill lately — more wins on the board than Sofia Farmer.
  • Win probability leans Sofia Farmer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Windmill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Windmill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sofia Farmer Clean Sheet 16%
Windmill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sofia Farmer Windmill
Matches Played 4 10
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 Irish Cup
Sofia Farmer vs Windmill
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sofia Farmer 84 / 100
Windmill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sofia Farmer Windmill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sofia Farmer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sofia Farmer's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Windmill let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Windmill registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sofia Farmer VS Windmill
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sofia Farmer

(Home)
18 Aug
St. James' Swifts
2 : 1
Sofia Farmer
05 Nov
Sofia Farmer
0 : 2
Windmill
01 Oct
Sofia Farmer
2 : 0
Limavady
21 Aug
Sofia Farmer
2 : 1
Lower Maze

Windmill

(Away)
08 Jan
Coleraine
6 : 0
Windmill
17 Aug
Woodvale
5 : 1
Windmill
30 Sept
Sport & Leisure
2 : 0
Windmill
19 Aug
Windmill
2 : 1
St. James' Swifts
19 Jul
Windmill
2 : 5
Banbridge
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
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Nortel -
St. Marys -
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Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
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Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
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Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
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Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
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Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
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Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
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Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
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St Luke's -
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PSNI -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
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Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
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Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
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Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
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Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
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Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
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Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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PSNI -
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Ballyclare -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
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Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0