Sport Picks
Sogdiana vs Neftchi Fargona
Uzbekistan
Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh 
Match Events
22'
22'
Micin P.
25'
25'
Abdurashidov A.
28'
28'
Yuldoshev I.
Assist: Alibaev I.
AI Match Summary
Neftchi Fargona in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftchi Fargona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Neftchi Fargona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Sogdiana.
- Win probability leans Neftchi Fargona's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 13%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sogdiana | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 23 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Neftchi Fargona
1:5
Sep 30, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1
May 4, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Sogdiana
2:1
Aug 20, 2024 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Sogdiana
0:3
Jul 6, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Neftchi Fargona
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sogdiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Micin P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuldoshev I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Giyosov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sogdiana 22 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sogdiana Neftchi Fargona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sogdiana scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Sogdiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sogdiana VS Neftchi Fargona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sogdiana
(Home) 21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
02 May
Buxoro
2 : 1 Sogdiana
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Termez Surkhon
23 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Termez Surkhon
19 Apr
Sogdiana
2 : 3 Bunyodkor
02 Apr
Sogdiana
2 : 2 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 4
Neftchi Fargona
(Away) 21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5 Neftchi Fargona
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
14 Apr
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26:14 | 33 |
| 3 | OKMK | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:18 | 25 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Navbahor Namangan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Andijan | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Bunyodkor | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Din. Samarkand | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Termez Surkhon | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 23:33 | 12 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7:24 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
