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Sogdiana vs Andijan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Urinboev Z. In: Mavlonkulov S.
Out: Urinboev Z.
46'
Sub
Sulaymonov B. In: Komilov S.
Out: Sulaymonov B.
46'
Sub
Iminov K. In: Ceran D.
Out: Iminov K.

AI Match Summary

Sogdiana in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogdiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sogdiana
15%
Draws
39%
Andijan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Andijan lately — more wins on the board than Sogdiana.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sogdiana taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 20%
Andijan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Andijan
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Sogdiana
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Sogdiana
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Andijan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Andijan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 85 / 100
Andijan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Andijan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Andijan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sogdiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Andijan
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

Andijan

(Away)
09 Oct
Buxoro
3 : 2
Andijan
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)