Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs FC Rustavi

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Rustavi in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Rustavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sogdiana
20%
Draws
40%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Rustavi lately — more wins on the board than Sogdiana.
  • Sogdiana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana FC Rustavi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Sogdiana vs FC Rustavi
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 40 / 100
FC Rustavi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sogdiana scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

FC Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Sogdiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS FC Rustavi
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
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FC Rustavi

(Away)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
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