Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs Qizilqum

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Doriev L.
(Penalty)
17'
Norkhonov S.
23'
Dzhuraboev Z.

AI Match Summary

Sogdiana in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogdiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sogdiana
39%
Draws
31%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogdiana have won more games recently than Qizilqum.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 68%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Qizilqum
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum
3:0
Jun 24, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Sogdiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebaj R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Qizilqum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 41 / 100
Qizilqum 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Qizilqum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Qizilqum let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sogdiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Qizilqum
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
02 May
Buxoro
2 : 1
Sogdiana
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Termez Surkhon
23 Apr
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Sogdiana
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Qizilqum

(Away)
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2
Din. Samarkand
04 May
Lok. Tashkent
1 : 0
Qizilqum
29 Apr
Qizilqum
0 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
24 Apr
Qizilqum
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
17 Apr
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona30197449:2464
2Pakhtakor30186659:2360
3Nasaf Qarshi301611351:2359
4Din. Samarkand301610447:3058
5Bunyodkor301310748:4049
6OKMK301461044:3448
7Navbahor Namangan3010101041:3740
8Sogdiana301071337:3737
9Qizilqum30991228:4436
10Termez Surkhon30981326:3035
11Andijan30981339:5135
12Kokand 191230971424:3934
13Mashal Muborak30861622:4830
14Buxoro30691530:4927
15Xorazm Urganch30761733:3927
16Shortan Guzor30381927:5717
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Super League 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Main)