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Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Sogdiana Logo

Sogdiana

2 - 0
FT
Xorazm Urganch Logo

Xorazm Urganch

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Otakhonov A.
Own Goal
35'
Sub
Abdikholikov N. In: Nugumanov D.
Out: Abdikholikov N.
46'
Sub
Zajmovic D. In: Micin P.
Out: Zajmovic D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Sogdiana and Xorazm Urganch finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sogdiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sogdiana
30%
Draws
16%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogdiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sogdiana taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
0:0
Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
0:2
Jun 19, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Jun 30, 2012 Pro Liga
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sogdiana scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Xorazm Urganch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Sogdiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Xorazm Urganch
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogdiana

(Home)
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)