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Sogndal 2 vs Gneist IL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ali M.
18' Event
Ali M.
34' Event
Kvamsdal A.

AI Match Summary

Sogndal 2 in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogndal 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sogndal 2
15%
Draws
49%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gneist IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gneist IL haven't matched Sogndal 2's recent run of results.
  • Sogndal 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal 2 Gneist IL
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 2.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Sogndal 2 vs Gneist IL
5:3
Jun 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Sogndal 2
4:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stavo S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvamsdal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adonaba T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 2 48 / 100
Gneist IL 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal 2 Gneist IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sogndal 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Gneist IL has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal 2 VS Gneist IL
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal 2

(Home)
10 Oct
Sogndal 2
5 : 3
Gneist IL
03 Oct
Sogndal 2
2 : 3
Austevoll
26 Sept
Djerv 1919
2 : 1
Sogndal 2
19 Sept
Sogndal 2
2 : 4
V. Haugesund
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
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Gneist IL

(Away)
10 Oct
Sogndal 2
5 : 3
Gneist IL
03 Oct
Gneist IL
0 : 5
Djerv 1919
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
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