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Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2024
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Match Events

36' Event
Bonabandi K. H.
49' Event
Aroy M.
54' Event
Haugen Duesund A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Sogndal U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sogndal U19
15%
Draws
59%
Valerenga U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Valerenga U19's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Sogndal U19 have produced (1.97).
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Valerenga U19 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Valerenga U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sogndal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal U19 Valerenga U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.97 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
3:1
Jan 27, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
1:4
Oct 30, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
5:0
Nov 1, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
1:3
Oct 25, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen Duesund A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bonabandi K. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Valerenga U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal U19 10 / 100
Valerenga U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal U19 Valerenga U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sogndal U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Valerenga U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Sogndal U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal U19 VS Valerenga U19
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal U19

(Home)
29 Apr
Asane U19
4 : 0
Sogndal U19
26 Mar
Asane U19
2 : 1
Sogndal U19
21 Mar
Sogndal U19
3 : 2
Bryne U19
14 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
7 : 0
Sogndal U19
22 Feb
Sogndal U19
3 : 3
Kfum Oslo U19
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga U19

(Away)
12 Aug
Brann U19
0 : 1
Valerenga U19
21 Jul
Valerenga U19
1 : 4
Brann U19
28 Apr
Valerenga U19
2 : 0
Kongsvinger U19
27 Mar
Odds BK U19
6 : 0
Valerenga U19
13 Mar
Kristiansund U19
2 : 3
Valerenga U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rosenborg U19 5
Start U19 3
Bodo/Glimt U19 2
Sogndal U19 3
Viking U19 5
Ham-Kam U19 4
Stromsgodset U19 6
Valerenga U19 8
Semi-finals
Rosenborg U19 4
Sogndal U19 5
Viking U19 1
Valerenga U19 2
Final
Sogndal U19 5
Valerenga U19 0