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Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19

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Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
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AI Match Summary

Sogndal U19 play Valerenga U19 in the Nasjonal U19 CL 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sogndal U19 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Valerenga U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Sogndal U19 won 2, Valerenga U19 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sogndal U19 and 2.81 for Valerenga U19. This points to a Sogndal U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sogndal U19
15%
Draws
42%
Valerenga U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogndal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogndal U19 picked up more points recently compared to Valerenga U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Sogndal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal U19 Valerenga U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
3:1
Jan 27, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
1:4
Oct 30, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
5:0
Nov 1, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Valerenga U19 vs Sogndal U19
1:3
Oct 25, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sogndal U19 vs Valerenga U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Flo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valerenga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Usman T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martins U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal U19 41 / 100
Valerenga U19 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal U19 Valerenga U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sogndal U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sogndal U19 attacking → ← attacking Valerenga U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Valerenga U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sogndal U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Valerenga U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 43
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Odds BK U19632113:1111
2Haugesund U19631218:1210
3Viking U19630313:109
4Start U1961148:194
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aalesund U1963219:711
2Stabaek U19622214:118
3Rosenborg U19622215:138
4Molde U1961238:155
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tromso U19650120:815
2Lillestrom U19640218:1012
3Bodo/Glimt U1962047:186
4Ham-Kam U1961056:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valerenga U19640218:1312
2Brann U19630318:119
3Stromsgodset U19630318:269
4Sogndal U19620414:186