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Sogndal vs Ranheim Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
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Match Events

37' Event
Flo E.
Assist: Barkarson A.
49' Event
Sylva M.
Assist: Fossli A.
53'
Helen O.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Sogndal and Ranheim finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sogndal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sogndal
30%
Draws
47%
Ranheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ranheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ranheim come out ahead of Sogndal on wins alone.
  • Ranheim are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Ranheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Ranheim
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.9 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Ranheim
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Ranheim
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Sogndal
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Ranheim
0:2
Jul 20, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Sogndal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Flo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pippola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ranheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holden O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 22 / 100
Ranheim 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Ranheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ranheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ranheim has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sogndal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sogndal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Ranheim
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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Ranheim

(Away)
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Levanger
0 : 2
Ranheim
13 Sept
Ranheim
2 : 2
Asane
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
30 Aug
Ranheim
3 : 5
Odds BK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
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Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)