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Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Pippola T.
Assist: Skaanes K.
63'
Sub
Sundberg M. In: Memed A.
Out: Sundberg M.
63'
Sub
Brekke P. In: de Lanlay Y.
Out: Brekke P.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Sogndal and Sandnes Ulf finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sogndal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sogndal
30%
Draws
39%
Sandnes Ulf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sandnes Ulf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandnes Ulf come out ahead of Sogndal on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 17%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Sandnes Ulf
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
2:0
May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
1:0
May 11, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
5:1
Aug 6, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pippola T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 30 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Sandnes Ulf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sandnes Ulf conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sogndal scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Sogndal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Sandnes Ulf
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

Sandnes Ulf

(Away)
03 Oct
Strommen
3 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)