Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sohar vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Al Muqbali S.
45' Event
Al Rawahi M.
48' Event
Al Ghafri M.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2025/2026 game between Sohar and Al Nahda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sohar
35%
Draws
29%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sohar have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Al Nahda are scoring more at 1.2.
  • Sohar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Nahda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sohar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sohar Al Nahda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Sohar
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nahda
1:2
Dec 18, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sohar
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Sohar vs Al Nahda
2:5
Apr 27, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sohar
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Muqbali S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawahi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghafri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sohar 50 / 100
Al Nahda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sohar Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sohar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sohar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sohar scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Nahda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sohar VS Al Nahda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sohar

(Home)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)