Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sohar vs Al Nasr

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Al Ghatrifi K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sohar
20%
Draws
42%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sohar haven't matched Al Nasr's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Al Nasr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nasr, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sohar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sohar Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Sohar
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sultan Cup
Sohar vs Al Nasr
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nasr
1:0
Jan 2, 2026 Sultan Cup
Al Nasr vs Sohar
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nasr
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sohar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghatrifi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sohar 41 / 100
Al Nasr 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sohar Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sohar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sohar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sohar found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Al Nasr conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sohar VS Al Nasr
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sohar

(Home)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
Page 1 of 6

Al Nasr

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
18 Aug
Dhofar
3 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Saham
0 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al-Shabab -
TBD -
Nizwa 1
Dhofar 3
Al-Mudhaibi 2
Al-Wahda 3
TBD -
Oman Club -
Al Khaboora -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Al-Rustaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Sohar -
Al Seeb -
TBD -
Jaalan 2
Salalah SC 1
Al-Samail 0
Muscat 2
TBD -
Saham -
Bahla -
TBD -
Ibri 0
Sur Club 1
Al-Msnaa 2
Fanja SC 1
TBD -
Al Nahda -
1/8-finals
Al-Shabab 0
Dhofar 1
Al-Wahda 1
Oman Club 2
Al Khaboora 1
Al Nasr 2
Al-Rustaq 1
Sohar 2
Al Seeb 2
Jaalan 0
Muscat 0
Saham 1
Bahla 1
Sur Club 2
Al-Msnaa 1
Al Nahda 3
Quarter-finals
Dhofar 0
Oman Club 1
Al Nasr 1
Sohar 0
Al Seeb 6
Saham 4
Sur Club 2
Al Nahda 6
Semi-finals
Oman Club 3
Al Nasr 1
Al Seeb 1
Al Nahda 2
Final
Oman Club 0
Al Nahda 2