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Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Dynel L.
45' Event
Drygiel P.
78' Event
Drygiel P.

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
6%
Draws
90%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz haven't matched Jagiellonia II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jagiellonia II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jagiellonia II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 14%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 1 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:0
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
Sep 19, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
2:0
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Jagiellonia II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Dynel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Drygiel P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100
Jagiellonia II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Jagiellonia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jagiellonia II's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz VS Jagiellonia II
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212