Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

0 - 1

Lidzbark Warmimski

Our Tip

Match Events

Senkevich Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lidzbark Warmimski in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lidzbark Warmimski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Draws

90%

Lidzbark Warmimski

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lidzbark Warmimski lately — more wins on the board than Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lidzbark Warmimski taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	Lidzbark Warmimski
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	1	7
Draws	1	11
Losses	27	10
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	3.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Lidzbark Warmimski

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sep 7, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Lidzbark Warmimski vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Top Goalscorer Senkevich Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100

Lidzbark Warmimski 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Lidzbark Warmimski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LID Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lidzbark Warmimski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Lidzbark Warmimski registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz VS Lidzbark Warmimski

1 Goals Scored 1.25

3.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	23	5	6	81:30	74
2	Legia II	34	21	7	6	75:39	70
3	LKS Lomza	34	18	10	6	68:38	64
4	Warta Sieradz	34	16	7	11	46:42	55
5	Suwalki	34	13	9	12	46:38	48
6	Jagiellonia II	34	13	8	13	54:49	47
7	Swit Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	47:58	47
8	GKS Belchatow	34	12	10	12	52:52	46
9	Bron Radom	34	12	10	12	40:48	46
10	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	7	14	57:64	46
11	MKS Mlawa	34	12	8	14	67:62	44
12	Plock II	34	11	10	13	54:58	43
13	GKS Wikielec	34	10	12	12	39:45	42
14	Stomil Olsztyn	34	11	9	14	44:56	42
15	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	52:59	41
16	Lidzbark Warmimski	34	9	14	11	46:60	41
17	Pelikan	34	9	6	19	34:58	33
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	2	6	26	26:72	12