Sport Picks
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Zambrow Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
5'
5'
Zalewski K.
23'
23'
Lubak D.
57'
57'
Lydkowski P.
AI Match Summary
Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sokol Ostroda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Sokol Ostroda haven't matched Olimpia Zambrow's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sokol Ostroda | Olimpia Zambrow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:3
Sep 10, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Sokol Ostroda
2:3
Mar 21, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Sokol Ostroda
0:0
Aug 17, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Zambrow
4:1
Jun 8, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Olimpia Zambrow
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Top Goalscorer Lubak D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stefanski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Olimpia Zambrow Compare
Top Goalscorer Zalewski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lydkowski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sokol Ostroda 29 / 100
Olimpia Zambrow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sokol Ostroda Olimpia Zambrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sokol Ostroda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Zambrow has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Sokol Ostroda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Sokol Ostroda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sokol Ostroda VS Olimpia Zambrow
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sokol Ostroda
(Home) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
24 May
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13 May
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Legionowo
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Zambrow
(Away) 03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
19 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
08 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
