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Sol de Mayo vs San Martin Formosa

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Sol De Mayo
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Martinez M.
24'
Valdebenito F.
25' Event
Nunez G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between Sol de Mayo and San Martin Formosa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sol de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sol de Mayo
39%
Draws
30%
San Martin Formosa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin Formosa come out ahead of Sol de Mayo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 13%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo San Martin Formosa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sol de Mayo
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs San Martin Formosa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Scolari J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdebenito F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Martin Formosa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 31 / 100
San Martin Formosa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo San Martin Formosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin Formosa conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sol de Mayo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sol de Mayo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS San Martin Formosa
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0