Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sol de Mayo vs San Martin Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Sol De Mayo
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Cuenca S.
28'
Rojo M. R.
28' Event
Miguez L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between Sol de Mayo and San Martin Mendoza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sol de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sol de Mayo
28%
Draws
50%
San Martin Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Martin Mendoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • San Martin Mendoza's 1 goals per match outpaces what Sol de Mayo have produced (0.75).
  • Win probability leans San Martin Mendoza's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 23%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo San Martin Mendoza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs San Martin Mendoza
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs San Martin Mendoza
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Martin Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 24 / 100
San Martin Mendoza 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo San Martin Mendoza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sol de Mayo scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

San Martin Mendoza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Sol de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS San Martin Mendoza
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guillermo Brown962115:620
2Germinal95139:716
3San Martin Mendoza943210:615
4Sol de Mayo950412:1515
5Juventud U.U.93518:414
6Circulo Deportivo93427:413
7Huracan Las Heras932410:1111
8Santamarina93249:1111
9Sportivo Estudiantes92347:89
10Gutierrez Mendoza90093:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Unidos960315:618
2Bartolome Mitre951311:716
3Sarmiento Resistencia951313:1216
4Sportivo Las Parejas951311:1016
5El Linqueno942311:614
6Sol de America941411:813
7Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo933313:1312
8Gimnasia E.R.93249:1211
9Ben Hur931510:1610
10Crucero del Norte90278:222