Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Sol De Mayo, Viedma
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Areco G.
5'
Igartua N.
7' Event
Labaroni M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sol de Mayo and Santamarina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sol de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sol de Mayo
15%
Draws
57%
Santamarina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santamarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sol de Mayo come out ahead of Santamarina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santamarina's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 18%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo Santamarina
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.89 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
1:0
May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdebenito F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jara G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Santamarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Labaroni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igartua N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 28 / 100
Santamarina 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo Santamarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santamarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sol de Mayo scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Santamarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santamarina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS Santamarina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sol de Mayo

(Home)
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0
Sol de Mayo
16 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0
Germinal
13 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

Santamarina

(Away)
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0
Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
17 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 0
Fundacion Amigos
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)