Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Sol De Mayo
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Areco G.
5'
Igartua N.
7' Event
Labaroni M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sol de Mayo and Santamarina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sol de Mayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sol de Mayo
40%
Draws
29%
Santamarina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sol de Mayo come out ahead of Santamarina on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 20%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sol de Mayo Santamarina
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina
0:0
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sol de Mayo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdebenito F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jara G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santamarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Labaroni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igartua N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sol de Mayo 32 / 100
Santamarina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sol de Mayo Santamarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sol de Mayo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Santamarina conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Sol de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sol de Mayo VS Santamarina
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512