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Solihull Moors vs Middlesbrough U21

England England

National League Cup Damson Park, Solihull
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Campbell L.
Assist: Johnson B.
24' Event
Coulson F.
Assist: McCabe L.
28' Event
McFarlane C.
Assist: Tiensia J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Solihull Moors
15%
Draws
76%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Middlesbrough U21 lately — more wins on the board than Solihull Moors.
  • Model gives Middlesbrough U21 a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Middlesbrough U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Solihull Moors vs Middlesbrough U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solihull Moors Compare

Top Goalscorer McFarlane C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulson F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 10 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough U21 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Solihull Moors scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solihull Moors has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Middlesbrough U21
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.4
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
15 Aug
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Boston United
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2
Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Burton
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)