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Stadium Background

Solihull Moors vs Southend

England England

National League Damson Park, Solihull
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wakeling J.
Penalty Missed
6'
Warren T.
14' Event
Wakeling J.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Solihull Moors and Southend finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Solihull Moors
15%
Draws
76%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Southend carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Southend are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Southend
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.31 2
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 National League
Southend vs Solihull Moors
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League
Southend vs Solihull Moors
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solihull Moors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakeling J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popoola J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 10 / 100
Southend 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solihull Moors found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Southend's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Solihull Moors stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Southend
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
15 Aug
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Boston United
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2
Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Burton
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Southend

(Away)
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
08 Aug
Altrincham
1 : 3
Southend
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0
Aveley
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Leyton Orient
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Hornchurch 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Sutton 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Southend 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Hartlepool 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 Forest Green 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
7 Boreham Wood 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
8 AFC Fylde 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
9 Gateshead 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Boston United 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Worthing FC 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Eastleigh 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Aldershot 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Kidderminster 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
15 Yeovil 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
16 Tamworth 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
17 Carlisle 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Scunthorpe 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
19 Wealdstone 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
20 Halifax 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Altrincham 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
22 Barrow 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
23 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
24 Woking 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
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