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Solihull Moors vs Southend - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Damson Park, Solihull
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wakeling J.
Penalty Missed
6'
Warren T.
14' Event
Wakeling J.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Solihull Moors and Southend finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Solihull Moors
20%
Draws
46%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Southend carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Southend are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Southend
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.23 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 National League
Southend vs Solihull Moors
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League
Southend vs Solihull Moors
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 National League
Solihull Moors vs Southend
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solihull Moors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakeling J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popoola J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 18 / 100
Southend 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solihull Moors found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Southend's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Solihull Moors stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Southend
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
27 Oct
Wealdstone
2 : 3
Solihull Moors
24 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Carlisle
17 Oct
Kidderminster
2 : 1
Solihull Moors
13 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Everton U21
10 Oct
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6

Southend

(Away)
27 Oct
Worthing FC
3 : 3
Southend
24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2
Halifax
17 Oct
Southend
1 : 2
Berkhamsted Town
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2
Southend
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 15 13 2 0 40:14 41
2 Harrogate 15 10 1 4 32:21 31
3 Southend 15 8 5 2 36:24 29
4 Yeovil 15 8 4 3 35:18 28
5 Worthing FC 15 8 4 3 32:22 28
6 Altrincham 15 9 1 5 22:20 28
7 AFC Fylde 15 8 2 5 27:23 26
8 Barrow 14 7 3 4 25:18 24
9 Carlisle 15 6 5 4 28:21 23
10 Halifax 15 6 3 6 26:20 21
11 Kidderminster 15 5 6 4 16:14 21
12 Sutton 15 6 3 6 17:21 21
13 Hornchurch 15 7 0 8 17:23 21
14 Woking 15 5 3 7 24:24 18
15 Forest Green 13 5 3 5 21:22 18
16 Aldershot 15 5 3 7 18:19 18
17 Eastleigh 15 5 3 7 18:24 18
18 Tamworth 14 5 2 7 25:31 17
19 Wealdstone 15 4 3 8 20:27 15
20 Hartlepool 15 5 0 10 15:23 15
21 Boston United 15 4 3 8 19:28 15
22 Scunthorpe 14 3 1 10 18:28 10
23 Solihull Moors 15 3 1 11 17:39 10
24 Gateshead 14 1 1 12 9:33 4
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