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Solomon Islands U17 vs American Samoa U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Solomon Islands U17 play American Samoa U17 in the OFC Championship U17 2015. Solomon Islands U17 are favorites here. Recently, Solomon Islands U17 averaged 4 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. American Samoa U17 averaged 0.62 goals scored and 6.46 conceded. In past meetings, Solomon Islands U17 won 1, American Samoa U17 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 22, 2015 ended 13:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Solomon Islands U17 and 1.19 for American Samoa U17. This points to a Solomon Islands U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Solomon Islands U17
15%
Draws
13%
American Samoa U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Solomon Islands U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Solomon Islands U17 picked up more points recently compared to American Samoa U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Solomon Islands U17 Clean Sheet 20%
American Samoa U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands U17 American Samoa U17
Matches Played 16 13
Wins 7 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 4 0.62
Goals Conceded 2.25 6.46
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 6.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Solomon Islands U17 vs American Samoa U17
13:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands U17 69 / 100
American Samoa U17 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands U17 American Samoa U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solomon Islands U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Solomon Islands U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.1%
1.19
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Solomon Islands U17 attacking → ← attacking American Samoa U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Islands U17 scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

American Samoa U17 let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 13.00 goals.

Solomon Islands U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

American Samoa U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 4
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Zealand U17550029:515
2New Caledonia U17540122:812
3Papua New Guinea U1752129:57
4Fiji U17521210:127
5Samoa U1751047:223
6Cook Islands U1750052:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tahiti U17440029:012
2Vanuatu U17430124:39
3Solomon Islands U17420224:66
4Tonga U1741033:323
5American Samoa U1740040:390