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Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women
Solomon Islands W Logo

Solomon Islands W

5 - 0
FT
Tonga W Logo

Tonga W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Arukau M.
28' Event
Moffat Pegi I.
41' Event
Moffat Pegi I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Solomon Islands W
15%
Draws
73%
Tonga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Islands W have won more games recently than Tonga W.
  • Model gives Solomon Islands W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Solomon Islands W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Solomon Islands W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Solomon Islands W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 19%
Tonga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands W Tonga W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.74 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
5:0
Nov 28, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
1:0
Jul 8, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
0:2
Sep 30, 2010 OFC Nations Cup Women
Solomon Islands W vs Tonga W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arukau M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moffat Pegi I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Tonga W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands W 42 / 100
Tonga W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands W Tonga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Solomon Islands W scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tonga W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands W VS Tonga W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands W

(Home)
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Solomon Islands W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
22 Nov
Solomon Islands W
2 : 4
Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 6

Tonga W

(Away)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3
American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0
Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Tahiti W 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Cook Islands W 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Vanuatu W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Tonga W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)