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Solomon Warriors vs AS Dragon

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tangis K.
77' Event
Tze-Yu R.
83' Event
Molea J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Solomon Warriors in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Solomon Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Solomon Warriors
15%
Draws
36%
AS Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Solomon Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Solomon Warriors have won more games recently than AS Dragon.
  • Model gives Solomon Warriors a 49% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Solomon Warriors Clean Sheet 12%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Warriors AS Dragon
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 OFC Champions League
Solomon Warriors vs AS Dragon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Tangis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

AS Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tze-Yu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Warriors 56 / 100
AS Dragon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Warriors AS Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solomon Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Dragon conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

Solomon Warriors found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AS Dragon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Warriors VS AS Dragon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Warriors

(Home)
18 May
Auckland City
5 : 0
Solomon Warriors
15 May
Solomon Warriors
2 : 3
Rewa
12 May
Solomon Warriors
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
22 Feb
Solomon Warriors
1 : 1
Central Coast
17 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 1
Solomon Warriors
Page 1 of 6

AS Dragon

(Away)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)