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Som Maresme vs Premia

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 game between Som Maresme and Premia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Som Maresme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Som Maresme
15%
Draws
24%
Premia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Som Maresme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Premia come out ahead of Som Maresme on wins alone.
  • Model gives Som Maresme a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Som Maresme here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Som Maresme Clean Sheet 20%
Premia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Som Maresme Premia
Matches Played 3 32
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 19
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Som Maresme vs Premia
2:0
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Som Maresme
1:0
Feb 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Som Maresme vs Premia
2:0
Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs Som Maresme
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Som Maresme 85 / 100
Premia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Som Maresme Premia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Som Maresme's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Premia has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Premia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Som Maresme VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Som Maresme

(Home)
26 Feb
Som Maresme
2 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Som Maresme
3 : 2
Benavent
29 Nov
Benavent
2 : 1
Som Maresme

Premia

(Away)
15 May
Espanyol B
3 : 2
Premia
08 May
Premia
1 : 0
CE Europa
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
6 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Premia
17 Apr
Premia
0 : 5
Terrassa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 L Hospitalet 38 25 11 2 75:16 86
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 25 8 5 69:23 83
3 Santboia 38 20 10 8 68:46 70
4 Prat 38 19 10 9 60:33 67
5 Cornella 38 16 13 9 43:41 61
6 Manlleu AEC 38 15 15 8 53:39 60
7 Som Maresme 38 15 11 12 58:42 56
8 CE Europa 38 13 15 10 56:51 54
9 Balaguer 38 13 13 12 55:48 52
10 Amposta 38 13 13 12 58:60 52
11 UE Castelldefels 38 13 8 17 52:62 47
12 Palamos CF 38 13 7 18 42:55 46
13 CF Vilanova 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
14 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 10 16 47:54 46
15 UD Cassa 38 11 11 16 50:61 44
16 Benavent 38 11 10 17 48:69 43
17 Premia 38 9 9 20 35:53 36
18 UE Rapitenca 38 9 7 22 46:71 34
19 Blanes 38 7 6 25 43:85 27
20 Olesa de Montserrat 38 5 11 22 30:75 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)