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Soma Spor vs Aliaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soma Spor host Aliaga in the 2. Lig White Group. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aliaga have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Soma Spor have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Aliaga slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Aliaga. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Soma Spor
15%
Draws
46%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Soma Spor haven't matched Aliaga's recent run of results.
  • Soma Spor are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 13%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Aliaga
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.54 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Soma Spor
3:3
Sep 28, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Aliaga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 40 / 100
Aliaga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Soma Spor's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aliaga has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Soma Spor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Soma Spor VS Aliaga
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Soma Spor

(Home)
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
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Aliaga

(Away)
10 Oct
Aliaga
1 : 0
Menemenspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
5 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
11 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)