Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soma Spor vs Ankara Demirspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Yilmaz A.
28' Event
Alkas S.
Assist: Saglik E.
70' Event
Coban C.
Assist: Pektas O.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Soma Spor and Ankara Demirspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soma Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Soma Spor
40%
Draws
29%
Ankara Demirspor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ankara Demirspor come out ahead of Soma Spor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 20%
Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Ankara Demirspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Ankara Demirspor
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Soma Spor
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Ankara Demirspor
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Soma Spor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Alkas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coban C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ankara Demirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 32 / 100
Ankara Demirspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Ankara Demirspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Soma Spor scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ankara Demirspor conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Soma Spor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Soma Spor VS Ankara Demirspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Soma Spor

(Home)
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
Bursaspor
5 : 1
Soma Spor
12 Apr
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
04 Apr
Menemenspor
2 : 1
Soma Spor
28 Mar
Soma Spor
2 : 0
Kirklarelispor
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Ankara Demirspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Ankara Demirspor
2 : 2
Guzide Gebzespor
19 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
12 Apr
Ankara Demirspor
0 : 1
Bursaspor
04 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
29 Mar
Ankara Demirspor
2 : 0
Menemenspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)