Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soma Spor vs K. Istklalspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soma Spor play K. Istklalspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. K. Istklalspor are favorites here. Recently, Soma Spor averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2 conceded. K. Istklalspor averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Soma Spor won 0, K. Istklalspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Soma Spor and 1.31 for K. Istklalspor. This points to a K. Istklalspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Soma Spor
17%
Draws
58%
K. Istklalspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: K. Istklalspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Soma Spor picked up more points recently compared to K. Istklalspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 18%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor K. Istklalspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.3 2.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs K. Istklalspor
2:3
Dec 21, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Soma Spor
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pektas O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alkas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

K. Istklalspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaya K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuncer A. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 26 / 100
K. Istklalspor 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor K. Istklalspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Istklalspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick K. Istklalspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Soma Spor attacking → ← attacking K. Istklalspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soma Spor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

K. Istklalspor let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Soma Spor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

K. Istklalspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 56
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52