Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somalia U17 vs Kenya U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somalia U17 in this CAF African Championship U17 2011 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U17
15%
Draws
85%
Kenya U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Somalia U17 lately — more wins on the board than Kenya U17.
  • Model gives Kenya U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Somalia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Somalia U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Kenya U17 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U17 Kenya U17
Matches Played 12 4
Wins 2 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.58 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Kenya U17 vs Somalia U17
0:0
Apr 9, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Somalia U17 vs Kenya U17
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U17 10 / 100
Kenya U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U17 Kenya U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Kenya U17 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Somalia U17 scored in 50% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Somalia U17 VS Kenya U17
0.38 Goals Scored 0.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
38% Over 1.5 29%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U17

(Home)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

Kenya U17

(Away)
20 Aug
Kenya U17
1 : 2
Cameroon U17
07 Aug
Cameroon U17
7 : 0
Kenya U17
24 Apr
Kenya U17
0 : 0
Somalia U17
09 Apr
Somalia U17
3 : 1
Kenya U17

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4