Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somalia U17 vs Sudan U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2013
Sat, Sep 8, 2012
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2013. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Somalia U17 have averaged 0.75 scored and 2.58 conceded recently, against Sudan U17's 2.2 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Somalia U17 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2012, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.19) point toward Sudan U17. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U17
15%
Draws
85%
Sudan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sudan U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sudan U17 taking it.
  • Sudan U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Sudan U17 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U17 Sudan U17
Matches Played 12 15
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Sudan U17 vs Somalia U17
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Somalia U17 vs Sudan U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U17 10 / 100
Sudan U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U17 Sudan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Somalia U17's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Away concern: Sudan U17 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Somalia U17 VS Sudan U17
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U17

(Home)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

Sudan U17

(Away)
02 Oct
Cameroon U17
5 : 1
Sudan U17
18 Sept
Sudan U17
4 : 2
Cameroon U17
21 Aug
Sudan U17
1 : 0
Zambia U17
07 Aug
Zambia U17
0 : 0
Sudan U17
01 Jul
Djibouti U17
0 : 8
Sudan U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U17 -
TBD -
Reunion U17 0
Namibia U17 6
Ethiopia U17 6
Central Africa U17 0
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Botswana U17 3
Malawi U17 3
TBD -
Rwanda U17 -
Sudan U17 0
Somalia U17 1
Somalia U17 -
Algeria U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Chad U17 6
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Tanzania U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Zimbabwe U17 4
Mozambique U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Angola U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 0
Benin U17 3
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Nigeria U17 10
Niger U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Mauritius U17 6
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U17 7
Namibia U17 0
Ethiopia U17 4
Tunisia U17 5
Botswana U17 2
Rwanda U17 1
Sudan U17 0
Algeria U17 3
Senegal U17 6
Sierra Leone U17 0
Chad U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 6
Tanzania U17 6
Egypt U17 0
Zimbabwe U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 5
Angola U17 4
Cameroon U17 2
Benin U17 5
South Africa U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Gambia U17 0
Ghana U17 6
Nigeria U17 7
Guinea U17 0
Mauritius U17 3
Mali U17 6
Final
Burkina Faso U17 2
Tunisia U17 4
Botswana U17 3
Algeria U17 2
Senegal U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 3
Tanzania U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 3
Benin U17 2
South Africa U17 3
Ghana U17 5
Nigeria U17 4
Mali U17 0