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Somalia U20 vs Sudan U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Sat, Apr 5, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. Sudan U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. Sudan U20 have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Somalia U20 have conceded 3.25 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Somalia U20 have won 0 to Sudan U20's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2014, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 2.56) point toward Sudan U20. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U20
15%
Draws
85%
Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sudan U20 have won more games recently than Somalia U20.
  • Sudan U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sudan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Somalia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U20 Sudan U20
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sudan U20 vs Somalia U20
5:0
Apr 5, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Somalia U20 vs Sudan U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U20 10 / 100
Sudan U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U20 Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sudan U20 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Somalia U20 scored in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Sudan U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somalia U20 VS Sudan U20
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U20

(Home)
27 Jul
Somalia U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
24 Jul
Oman U20
2 : 0
Somalia U20
26 Nov
Somalia U20
1 : 8
Tanzania U20
24 Nov
Djibouti U20
2 : 1
Somalia U20
25 Sept
South Sudan U20
3 : 0
Somalia U20
Page 1 of 2

Sudan U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
17 Sept
Djibouti U20
0 : 3
Sudan U20
15 Oct
Sudan U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -