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Somerset vs Launceston United U21

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Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Somerset and Launceston United U21 finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somerset.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Somerset
15%
Draws
42%
Launceston United U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somerset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Launceston United U21 haven't matched Somerset's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Somerset a 43% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Somerset have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Somerset Clean Sheet 11%
Launceston United U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somerset Launceston United U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 2.1 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.97 6.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
8:2
May 22, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Somerset
0:6
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Somerset
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Launceston United U21
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somerset 38 / 100
Launceston United U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somerset Launceston United U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somerset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Launceston United U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Somerset's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Launceston United U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Somerset VS Launceston United U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 5.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Somerset

(Home)
29 Aug
Launceston City U21
2 : 0
Somerset
22 Aug
Somerset
0 : 8
Devonport U21
15 Aug
Somerset
0 : 11
Northern Rangers
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Launceston United U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Launceston United U21
1 : 11
Devonport U21
22 Aug
Northern Rangers
6 : 1
Launceston United U21
15 Aug
Launceston City U21
5 : 3
Launceston United U21
08 Aug
Launceston United U21
2 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
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