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Somerset vs Northern Rangers

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Somerset and Northern Rangers finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Somerset
6%
Draws
90%
Northern Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Rangers come out ahead of Somerset on wins alone.
  • Northern Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Northern Rangers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Somerset Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somerset Northern Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 28
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 2.25 5.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 5.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Somerset
10:2
Apr 11, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Northern Rangers
3:4
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Somerset
8:1
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Northern Rangers vs Somerset
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Northern Rangers
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somerset 10 / 100
Northern Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somerset Northern Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somerset found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 6.80 goals.

Somerset went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Northern Rangers has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somerset VS Northern Rangers
2.25 Goals Scored 5.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Rangers14130189:1539
2Devonport U2114122077:1738
3Ulverstone U211473438:2824
4Somerset1462638:3320
5Launceston City U211450923:3015
6Burnie United1542933:6514
7Riverside Olympic U2114401020:6012
8Launceston United U2115111310:804