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Somesul Oar vs Baia Mare

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somesul Oar play Baia Mare in the Romanian Cup 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Somesul Oar averaged 2.14 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. Baia Mare averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Somesul Oar won 0, Baia Mare won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 30, 2014 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Somesul Oar and 1.36 for Baia Mare. This points to a Baia Mare double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Somesul Oar
15%
Draws
54%
Baia Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Somesul Oar picked up more points recently compared to Baia Mare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Somesul Oar Clean Sheet 18%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somesul Oar Baia Mare
Matches Played 7 32
Wins 3 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.91
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2014 Romanian Cup
Somesul Oar vs Baia Mare
1:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somesul Oar 32 / 100
Baia Mare 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somesul Oar Baia Mare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Baia Mare & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Somesul Oar attacking → ← attacking Baia Mare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somesul Oar scored in 86% of their last 7 games.

Baia Mare let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Somesul Oar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Baia Mare lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 61
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38