Sport Picks
Somorrostro vs Aurrera Ondarroa
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Somorrostro and Aurrera Ondarroa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurrera Ondarroa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somorrostro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aurrera Ondarroa come out ahead of Somorrostro on wins alone.
- Model gives Somorrostro a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 68%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Somorrostro | Aurrera Ondarroa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:2
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Somorrostro
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Somorrostro 95 / 100
Aurrera Ondarroa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Somorrostro Aurrera Ondarroa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Somorrostro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Aurrera Ondarroa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 41 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Somorrostro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aurrera Ondarroa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Somorrostro
(Home) 29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
09 May
Somorrostro
2 : 2 Sodupe
24 Apr
Somorrostro
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
11 Apr
Somorrostro
3 : 1 SCD Durango
Page 1 of 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
(Away) 11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 9
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 Apr
SCD Durango
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
23 Mar
CD Vitoria
3 : 1 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
