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Somorrostro vs Lagun Onak

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lagun Onak in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Somorrostro
30%
Draws
23%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somorrostro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lagun Onak have won more games recently than Somorrostro.
  • Somorrostro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 20%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somorrostro Lagun Onak
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 22
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Somorrostro
2:1
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Lagun Onak
0:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Lagun Onak
1:0
Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Somorrostro
0:0
Mar 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Somorrostro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somorrostro 85 / 100
Lagun Onak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somorrostro Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somorrostro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Somorrostro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Lagun Onak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 41 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Somorrostro

(Home)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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Lagun Onak

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
17 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 0
Derio
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